Fundamental Analysis

Key Economic Events and Reports for the Week Ahead

The Non-Farm Payrolls report was disappointing, but the Fed seems unrelenting in its quest to move towards a higher pace of QE roll-out. This is probably the main conclusion of this week, which should...

Lagarde: ECB is not Ready to Give Long-term Policy Pledges

The European Central Bank at its December meeting may agree on monetary policy for a relatively short period due to heightened uncertainty, but should not delay making a decision as markets need...

NFP may Cause Short-term Dollar Push

Among all the themes that drove the markets this week, two main ones can be distinguished. The first is uncertainty caused by the new strain, which, by the way, is rapidly unwinding thanks to positive...

How Much Will Omicron Overshadow Today's NFP Release?

COVID Uncertainty DominatesThe uncertainty around the recently announced Omicron COVID-variant has been well reflected in the price action we’ve seen across asset classes this week. While most leading...

FOMO Friday: AUDJPY On The Rocks

COVID Fears ReturnAnother week winds down, bringing us just that bit closer to the end of the year. It’s been a week of uncertainty for most, given the return of COVID fears created by the Omicron...

Strong NFP won’t help USD to rise

The news flow concerning the new covid strain continues to keep investors in suspense, with the VIX trading at its highest level since May 2020 (28-30 points):The bullish rebound in EURUSD fizzled...

UK BOE Rate Hike Expectations Fall Further

Bailey Warns Of Residual RisksExpectations that the Bank of England will hike in interest rates before the year end seemed to take another knock yesterday. Speaking at a business conference in London...

The Crude Chronicles - Episode 115

Oil Traders Cut LongsThe latest CFTC COT institutional positioning report shows that oil traders cut their net long positions again last week with the total upside position now sitting around one year...

Shaky Markets Await Further Omicron Updates

Sharp Shift In SentimentThe last few days in markets have served as a sharp reminder of just how quickly sentiment can shift. This time last week, traders were focused firmly on the Fed and...